A Deadly Week Illustrates Private Flying Has Its Risks

December 2, 2019 / 1 Comment

Two high-death count general aviation accidents punctuated the American Thanksgiving holiday weekend. In South Dakota on Saturday a Pilatus PC-12 turboprop crashed in near blizzard conditions shortly after taking off from the south-central part of the state on an 800-mile flight west to Idaho.  Nine people were killed, three were injured.

Four generations of men from the Hansen family, business owners in Idaho Falls, were aboard the airplane. The Pilatus may have been overloaded as this airplane has seats for two crew and up to nine passengers and 12 were aboard.

Crash scene photo courtest TSB Canada

On Wednesday, Otabek Oblokulov, his wife and three children 3, 11 and 15 years old and a relative, Bobomurod Nabiev and his wife were all killed in Canada when Oblokulov’s Piper Cherokee crashed on takeoff from Kingston, Ontario. The Oblokulovs were from Houston, the Nabiev’s from Canada. In a video posted on YouTube, Oblokulov praised the airplane he purchased earlier in the year and talked about his plans to fly his family on sightseeing trips. Oblokulov obtained his private pilot’s license in 2018.

Otabek Oblokulov photo from YouTube

These tragedies highlight the safety disparity between general and commercial aviation. Airliner accidents get plenty of attention because they happen so infrequently leading people to attribute commercial aviation safety statistics to anything that flies. But nearly every day in the United States, an unlucky passenger and/or pilot will die.

According to the most recent Nall Report, a comprehensive assessment of general aviation safety put out by AOPA, in the decade ending in 2016, general aviation accidents decreased to 1214. During that decade accidents briefly dipped below the 1000 mark. Of 2016’s twelve hundred accidents, 16 percent involved fatalities, for a total of 346 deaths.

“Pilot-related accident causes continued as a stubbornly significant factor in non-commercial fixed-wing aircraft accidents,” the Nall report states.

While it is far too early to say what contributed to these family aviation tragedies, or even if they are related to pilot actions, three factors are worth noting because of the role they have played in previous accidents. In the Ontario accident a) a low time VFR pilot flying in night conditions. In the South Dakota Pilatus crash,  b) takeoff in severe weather, c) more passengers than seats.

Item c reminds me of the 2009 crash also of a Pilatus PC-12 on which two families were traveling to a ski holiday in Montana. A total of 14 people were on board a plane with seats for 11. Everyone died when the plane slammed into the ground short of the runway in Butte.

When people fly without the benefit of seat restraints, or into challenging weather, they may calculate the infinitesimal chance that something will go wrong based on their experience flying commercially. But an airliner is not a personal plane and a weekend pilot is not a professional aviator.  I’m not suggesting people avoid private aviation, only that they approach it understanding the risks. This past week’s general aviation body count should make the point tragically clear.


Categories: Flying Lessons

One response to “A Deadly Week Illustrates Private Flying Has Its Risks”

  1. M. Samuelson says:

    This is the first mention of the possible overloading condition that might have seriously contributed to the cause of accident, barring the severe weather and the storm condition on take off.
    I searched PC-12 various brochures depicting the seating configuration, and never figured out how an airplane that at most has 11 seats could put 12 people on-board. Giving the weight of the luggage, however the amount of it is unknown but estimating being significant for 12 people on a long fishing trip. One can only assume that a serious overload would have existed, given the weight of the fuel that was just added before take off. Thank you Christine for pointing this out.

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